Friday, 17 June 2016

Thurs and Friday - Royal Ascot

Afternoon Folks..

Well its been a spectacular as yesterday i lumped on just one horse ORDER  of ST GEORGE and today i lumped solely on QUIET REFLECTION and both Won @ 10/11 & 7/4 so thats a nice double boom for me ;-))...so in total ive had 4 Naps this week with 3 Winners @ 13/2 , 10/11 and 7/4 and this is ably backed up bu no less than 11 other winners over the 3 days..or 2 and a half if being literal so i say thats good going.

Order of St George was a gimme at the odds and Karl Burke wouldn't hear of defeat for Quiet Reflection so two obvious max bets  just a shame Shinny was a big disappointment.

Rest of today well i quite fancy a run from Girling at decent odds in the finale but its all about tmrw now....

EXOSPHERE looks an outstanding prospect and will be in the money for sure , Sir Issac Newton will be a big double figured price now and i simply have to spunk some loose change away EW on that.

Would be nice to See FRANKKUS run a decent race as i rate him better than his half brother and at around 8/1 running for MJ looks to have more than a sporting chance.

I will be on THE TIN MAN EW as always with all bets in combs in available as this has an outstanding chance win and place chance and i very much doubt if this will not run into the money however Twilight Son should be had as a saver as this is another very useful sprinter.

I think Spring Loaded has earned his place at the table and at 20/1 looks to be another real sporting ew punt..tricky race but worth a small invest.
Sandro Bottecelli in the Finale should give punters some fun for the money...

The Saturday NAP is an EW on the very exciting EXOSPHERE.

Good Luck and happy punting.

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Frankkus ran 5th after weakening in the final 1f beaten less than 3L and only 1L behind his brother so a fair run with more to come and still on my tracker list.

BOOOOM as finally Sir Issac Newton lives upto some of the hype by Winning the Wolfreton at an excellent 7/1 !!!...outstanding price and a very tidy win.

Not a Boom...as all the good work is undone on Exsophere who was unplaced at a very tiny 6/4 a price that saved me money as i put less on because of the price..sounds crazy ight..but thats value betting...none the less it was a very disappointing run.

The Tin Man ran a shocker to come down the field however Henry Candy's charge won so i made some profit.









Tuesday, 14 June 2016

Ascot Royal Day 2 - Galileo is Gold -

Day 2 of the Royal meeting and its all down here from now as the win from Galileo's Gold was magnificent and set me up perfectly for a no lose situation this week with a decent profit locked in.

RACE 1
The JERSEY STAKES , a race for those that cant really stay a decent mile and those not really upto Class 1.

I think Thikriyaat could be amazing as it has a profile of greatness however im concerned its not been out yet so i will be staying with old friend GIFTED MASTER as i look to nail in some EW profits.
This is a decent horse a very decent sprinter but a horse versatile enough to win over 1m last season so the step from 6 to 7 will be no problem and i think 8/1 or better is a bet worth having.

RACE 2
The QUEEN MARY and this is a total crapfest however i think the best bet for me here is to Marry Medley.

That said i do think the Wesley Ward runner LADY AUREALIA could be rather special based on a lto dirt win when she cantered in by 8L.

RACE 3
The Duke of Cambridge Stakes is next and its a 1m race for fillies.
USHERETTE is good enough for me , will love the going the trip and is a proven graded runner but is a shitty price at around 2/1....but if i can squiggle some 5/2 i will get involved.

RACE 4
PRINCE OF WALES STAKES

A SHIN HIKARI will simply piss this on all known form and any amount of figures and data ruined a solid field in the soft in France lto i really like this raider...NAP and wallet emptying time.

RACE 5
The Royal Cunt Hup

A race for the needy and greedy....But if i had to have a go it would be on a big spread dutch on the Boys in Blue as there runners look different class to these work a day handicappers and class should prevail.

RACE 6
The Sandringham as a finale....what a painful day.....a PERSUASIVE gets my EW vote here in a tough race at the end of a tough day.

Best Bet is just to smash A SON HIKARI , fuck the rest off and goto the pub .....

Good Luck and enjoy.


Monday, 13 June 2016

Royal Fucking Ascot

Howdy Folks..

Its another great week in equine calendar as we move into June and its Royal Ascot a incredible week of blue blood investment on show and hopefully some classic races although im becoming less and less a flat aficionado as my love for NH grows however the odd week like this does spike my interest.

All this in / out Brexit/Remain bollocks has me bubbling for a mammoth Friday rant so watch this space!!!...


Back to racing...

Its Ascot a course for fucking halfwits and self satisfying self fellating cock ends and the odd nice hat.
A course that i fucking despise and a course much like newbury where form is not worth a brown finger and the week is to be taken in the spirit of horse racing and the wallet bulging bookies.

However its the Royal course and its a week to get all the fucking toff racing out of the way in one fell swoop..so enjoy Quentin et al coz you can fuck off after this.

So..who really wants to follow a very pious me at a course i hate in conditions that make it harder than normal in a year where little inspires...only the foolhardy and my friends thats who...so fingers crossed i can nail a winner or two for my cock sucking pals who have gone down on a 4 day jolly ( the wankers ).

RACE 1 
The Queen Anne Stakes over 1m for 4yo+ and it looks a decent field this to be honest.
Kodi Bear should be a lot better now with a spin under his belt and that is also the same for Amazing Maria both of whom i like as EW longshots but my money will very loyally be staying on BELARDO who i have already gained a very sweet profit on this term and i think there is more to come but this wont be easy by any means and he will need to be on top of his game as there are others who want to turn tables and break historic data records like Esoterique and Mondaliste plus the hidden danger of Tepin.

****Ran 2nd @ 9/2 and hit 1.50 in the run but a nice EW start for me as i got on at 13/2.

RACE 2
The Coventry and a ball acher with 19 runners and for pre pubescent 2yos what a fucking nightmare for punters.
Aiden V Joseph , Wesley V the Weather , Last time out winners V the field......

This is a tricky race however MOKARRIS has for me some very smart times and if coming on for that last run it will take a very good horse to beat him because looking through the big field you notice an awful lot of dead wood with form figures that flatter more than impress.Carvaggio @ 2/1 is a MAX LAY.

****Mokarris did absolutely fuck all here racing up the middle with little cover and sulked whilst the Fav was very very impressive and looks a seriously good horse but still a win as i traded my Lay off when it hit 5.4...;)

RACE 3
Next up its the King Stand a 5f super sprint but with 21 runners this is truly insane.
MECCAS ANGEL is a true super star in the sprinting ranks and for me is the winner but im not really interested in the 15/8 on offer so will look elsewhere for a sporting punt.
MUTHMIR is a horse ive always liked however it has always really let me down and owes me some payback.
Muthmir who has Won the Skybet Dash and a King George Stakes whilst also coming third in this very race among other lesser wins including a decent place in France and if Moofy is in the groove he will will have every chance of running into a place or better and at 16/1 is jsut the right side of Value and for me is a very decent EW bet.

****Muthmir was a Non Runner so nothing here for me either way although Meccas Angel ran a shocker.

RACE 4
Now we have for me one of my favourite races not only of the week but the whole year...im simply love the ST JAMES PALACE STAKES over 1m and always gets a good winner...from the days of Warning and Zilzal to Frankel have i always loved this.

Awtaad looks nice and got the run of the race at the Curragh and wont be so lucky here, The Ghurka looks very useful however the French form is weak so that leaves only one other option ( as this is a 3 runner race for me ) and that is GALILEO GOLD ( NAP ) and at 13/2 is one of the best EW bets you will ever come across as i believe this is nailed on for a place and has every chance of winning....13/2 for a UK Guineas winner that was caught in a pocket in the Irish version and generally suffered a poor ride and this class animal will show his colours here today and the stronger the pace the better for a horse considered as a possible Derby Fav....13/2....Lump the fuck on EW.


*****GALILEO GOLD 1st - Ran a cracker with a super ride from Frankie...left the other two Guineas winners in his wake although i think wit a better ride The Ghurka will be closer next time..fucking Moore is useless...

RACE 5
This Ascot Stakes race over 2m4f leaves me a bit cold to be honest and im struggling to gather any fucking interest whatsoever.
I think Silver Concorde will have a good Go whilst Willie Mullins will be keen to add to his flat tally not forgetting Gallizi however im sticking with me old chum Henderson and his NO HERETIC who last seen Won the Chester Cup and will be fully primed for a tilt here and will be fitter for that run and the 14/1 looks a decent enough price.

**Held up by Spencer for a late run but weakened before being produced...unplaced

RACE 6
The Finale is the Windsor Castle Stakes for 2 yos over 5f and has been a race that ive never done more than fuck all in.
TOMILLY from the yet to really fire stable of Hannon is the one for me at 10/1 in a race that only your gut instinct can be followed.

****This stable is in disarray and Hannon Snr will be coming out of retirement if this continues as the older dominate force of Hannon is now quickly turning into a stable of mediocrity and disappointment.


Best bets for me is £50 EW doubles and trebles on all selections through the card although im tempted to just cut the risk and have an EW Heinz or Canadian....GALILEO GOLD is an outstanding bet and is truly worth emptying every penny out of every account and sticking it on in the place market.....


Good Luck fuckers...enjoy a cracking Day 1.

Saturday, 11 June 2016

Saturday Double

Easton Angel & Cauis Marcius

£100 EW double.

Result : 
1st @ 2/1 & 2nd @ 4/9 ( wdr4 ) = £33.60 Loss

Sunday, 5 June 2016

Some Sunday Lunch Money...

Well...

Yesterday was overall a flat day for me as i looked to take on the obvious and expected and the obvious and expected performed.

Performance of the day goes to the incredible POSTPONED a horse that has improved so much i firmly believe this is THE best 1m4f horse currently in Europe and a win at RA will be followed by a route to the Arc and if in the same heart will win no question ( been clipped from 8/1 to 4/1 ).

And as much as i " thought " this would win i still went against it with Simple Verse who needs a much stiffer test of stamina and only woke up in the final 1f and i think another tilt at the St Leger is on the cards and a wee ante post may be in order.

The rest of my day went pretty much the same with US Army Ranger getting a very poor ride from Moore and denied a Derby victory whilst Catargo did absolutely nothing.

Over at Donny the Godolphin charge Dubai Destiny ran a super race as looks as good as i was led to think.Run into 3rd or rather was hampered, checked and squeezed out of 2nd and any chance of winning by the winner and eventual 2nd , this was sat on the inside swinging away and tanking until the 2f pole then they all made a move and this just cruised up the inside and then at the 1f pole really got to work like a proper horse, the winner ran a solid race and got the jump but was tiring and this girl was full of running at the end at 7f or even 1m will not be an issue at the back of this race the winner swerved into the rail checking my runner whilst the third switched two wide to pip it for 2nd as Dubai nearly lost itss legs such was the commotion....THIS IS A NAILED ON FUTURE WINNER!!!.

Back to area of expertise the NH i ventured into a couple of small bets on the seasons first Juvenile Hurdle and i had a £50 win on the Easterby charge that failed to stay ( in fact it was classed as a non finisher ) and i also had £25 EW on Rajapour as this as explained was the only stout staying bred type in the race and this ran a cracker and almost capitalizing on a last fence blunder by the eventual winner going down by a short head at 31.58 ( 25/1 ) and 6.2 a place so did ok there but if this can learn to settle and jump cleaner then it could have a bright future as it was full of gusto at the end and there was  16L gap back to the third suggesting these two are decent enough to nab a few summer wins with a view to a promising 2017 winter campaign.

So today , well we have two decent bets in RAINY CITY and MENORAH.

Rainy City has taken an age to sort his shit out but looks a very decent type now and i expect this to be capable of rattling off four or five wins through the summer then take a break and come back in November whilst Menorah is a perpetual Group 1 or graded runner that although advancing in years is still a very decent performer and this is a sizeable drop in class and lets not forget lto he beat the very useful Valsuer Lido which is a ton better than any other form available and i will be very surprised if this doesnt piss in.

RESULTS:

RAINY CITY - 1st @ 4/11

MENORAH - 2nd @ 11/10 ( Gave winner 2 stone )

1 X £100 DOUBLE = Loss....Booo...always tomorrow...

Saturday, 4 June 2016

Derby Day

Good Morning World

Well here it is the creme de le creme ( or so they say ) of the flat calendar, the Investec DERBY a race  over 1m4f for the boys ( Minding won a rather turgid looking Oaks yesterday for the girls ) and we have last years winning trainer in with another decent shout and the usual shotgun approach from AoB in what looks like a very open Derby.

I will also cast my eye over the remainder of the card and throw in a couple of extra NH races which appeal ( Namely my specialty Novice Hurdles ).

So lets take a peek at today's action.

EPSOM Derby Day.

14:00
We start off with a decent looking stakes race over 1m2f with a decent 15 runners ( so often never quite the 16 you need for 4 places in traditionally betting ).

CARTAGO looks a decent EW punt in the first a horse that is still improving and learning and comes in here in good heart having been touched off by a derby hopeful lto after being squeezed for room when wanting to make a run, there are a hatful of others to consider here including the 300k Stoute runner Poets Word ,Dark Devil and the improving Banish however at 5/1 i feel that Cartago is an EW bet to nothing and is one i would def have in some EW accas.

RESULT:
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14:35
Next up is the Princess Elizabeth Stakes over 1m for the Fillies and this C1 has attracted a disappointing field.
Just the 7 runners and i see no point in going against SAYANNA ( NAP ).
With the highest official rating on show at 103 Sayanna can afford to even run a little below par and still win as i rate this myself at 116 with further scope for improvement as we got no where near the bottom of this one yet although its a slight concern that a filly with such obvious ability has so far swerved all nationality of Guineas and is running a short time before Royal Ascot...bad planning or just a bully? either way it cannot be over looked today.

RESULT:
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15:10
The CORONATION CUP next over 1m4f for all ages and in truth this could be a bit of a humdinger as we have at least 3 very top class sorts involved propped up with two others who could if things drop right get involved.

lets look at the three main protagonists and from where imo the winner will be found.

FOUND - A very classy Galileo filly who will be up there and will def be involved in the finish however since winning a G3 over an extended trip she has since shown on 4 separate occasions that at 1m2f she lacks any sort of finish she kinda stays on remorselessly rather than having any real kick and is very vulnerable to anything with any sort of finish or a proper stayer and for me i think 3rd is the best this will manage.

POSTPONED - This is without doubt the most improved in the race and in all honesty the likeliest winner having rattled up a tremendous four timer including a lto destruction of Duramente in the Sheema Classic which added further Gloss to an exhilarating performance when winning the King George from Eagle Top and Romsdal however it must also be noted that both Eagle Top and Romsdal are perpetual under performers who routinely sulk in a race and as good as that form looks to be its a glorified hcap which was further illustrated when winning the Prix Foy beating the likes of Spiritjim who has done fuck all since so in a decent race with a fav that for me is still just a high quality handicapper that is priced at 10/11 i will look elsewhere and in truth for the layers i think this is a knocking laybet at odds on or even money as you have some great horses running for you.

SIMPLE VERSE - This for me looks to be the winner or at least imo is the best bet at 5/1 as a place looks nailed on and an EW double with Cartago looks very tasty indeed ( Ev/Ev the place..not to be sniffed at ).
A proper stayer that will not be wanting should the Varian pacemaker make this a proper gallop a filly that has shown bags of class when winning the champion stakes and has run 2nd in various top quality events including the likes of the St Leger , quite Simply i think that Even money FAP for this is a million times better bet than Even money on Postponed to win.

RESULT:
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15:45
The DASH is exactly what it states on the tin a flying 5f and with 18 runners this is deliciously wide open.
With so many in the race having bits of form against each other and most of them taking it in turns to win i think a chance should be taken on MALJAA to prove he has that bit of class that stands him apart and at a top priced 9/1 offers extremely good value.
I didnt like his fto run this season but you can always slightly forgive a seasonal effort and if fitter add more in tuned has every chance on form but he will have to improve and step up now on ground he should relish.

RESULT :
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16:30
The DERBY.

A race that over the years has produced some heroic winners and some true world beaters in the shape of Sea the Stars , Galileo and Reference Point but has generally produced not much more than one season wonders as they want the coin from breeding and a few duds in between like High Rise, Oath and Pour Moi.

This years renewal looks wide open in truth with any number having a genuine chance as this years crop a true superstar which isnt to say that we wont get one but we have nothing that has really shone in a stable for all moderation and a season full of whatevers.

Cloth of Stars has been well backed this morning however having only beaten a combined 9 runners in its last 2 races and with the form on offer dubious at best i am not interested in this tied 3rd favourite.
Us Army Ranger won well enough at Chester in the trial but was pretty much flat out and im not sure he will have such an easy passage through in this and will get outstayed but not outbattled if this si still fighting at the 1f pole it will take a good un to beat him but i also feel this race will be won before that so a place at best.

WINGS OF DESIRE does tick all the boxes for me.Proven stayer who will like the conditions and another who won his trial in taking fashion over a trip ( 1m2f ) that many thought actually too short so to win going away was impressive and of course Gosden knows how to ready a winner for this having trained last years victor.
Currently top priced 6/1 ( Stan James ) this looks another top drawer EW Bet and looks ready made to complete a nice EW Trixie for me.

Algometer and Across the Stars at 33/1 and 40/1 look very decent long shots for those wanting some ew fun and with SKYBET paying out on the top 5 at 1/5 odds this is well worth a risk taking on as either could easily run into a place past beaten and tired horses to sneek some place money and this is a bet i would advise.

RESULT :
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17:15
To round off the Place Pot card we have a crazy looking 17 runner hcap over 1m4f.....what a fucking nightmare!!!!!.
Polarisation is very interesting now with Godolphin ( formerly with M Johnston ) and this is one of those best watched as it could win by 10L or blow up 2f out.

Whinging Willie will i am sure be thereabouts along with Senrima and Green Light however im going to have both DURETTO & BARWICK in my pp as i feel both have it in them to get involved with realistic chances of winning and failing that to get placed ( 3 in fact as i will include Polarisation in the pp ).

RESULT :
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Best Bet is an " All stakes returned " Win on the NAP and use the money to pay for a decent EW Trixie on Cartago, Simple Verse and Wings of Desire and include Maljaa in a EW 4 fold ( not bothered about the win as all placed returns a very decent sum ).
_________________________________________________________________________

ELSEWHERE.........

1355 Doncaster - DUBAI ELEGANCE -
I am reliably informed this is very serious filly and the yard are excited to see this run and Doyle is there to oversee its debut leaving Buick to mop up at Epsom and the 5/2 looks a very nice price to start.

1440 Hexham - Bobbys Babe & Rajpour

The first Juvenile of the year and its tricky....very tricky however 6f All the way maiden winner Bobbys Babe could easily have enough to fend these off in a poor looking race but its a leap of faith going from 6f to 2m...will he stay..fuck knows thats why ive also included 28/1 shot Rajaapour because its the only one with with known staying prowess in the  pedigree ( by Dalakhani )...in truth this really isnt a bettng race but it lets me know where i am regarding reviewing and lets me interpret my own thoughts.

1830 Curragh - SIR ISSAC NEWTON -
Beaten at long odds on lto this is another quirky bastard from AoB however with several big engagements planned in at RA this WILL have to this or quite simply retire from racing.

A million miles better on hyperbole and at times in racing has looked effortlessly classy but has failed to live upto the hype so its show up or fuck off time for SIN and the 13/8 looks almost too good to be true as i had it at 1/2!!!!!


And that concludes my thoughts for today...good luck and enjoy.

Sunday, 22 May 2016

Sunday Lunch Money

Morning Folks,

Well its been a very good weekend of racing with so good results and the odd twitch and we round the weekend off with the Curragh being the center of attention.


My NAP of the Day with a bit of meat on the bones is JENNIES JEWEL and i think an EW Double with SASFARR should be had.


RESULTS: NAP WINS @ 7/4





PS:Dont forget to bet irresponsibly and to bet more than you can afford.

Sunday, 15 May 2016

Sunday Double

Morning Folks...

The updates have been very sparse of late as i have been busy on other projects however im up early with Ben today so i thought i would share the following.

WASINGTON DC & BONDI BEACH looks a nailed on double today , both will be short prices but both are different gravy in their respective races and i would be shocked if either lost.

Washington DC ran no sort of race lto and should bounce right back in this lower grade whilst Bondi Beach will use this as a prep for Royal Ascot.

Nailed on Lump Double.


Good Luck and should you want any further advice or tips then just email or message me ;-)

Enjoy your Sunday.


RESULT : BOTH WON although at prohibitive odds off 1/9 & 13/8
Giving you roughly 7/4 for the Double ( 1.92 )...but a wins a win ;-))

Wednesday, 23 March 2016

Tuesday, 22 March 2016

Thursday, 17 March 2016

Cheltenham DAY 4

In Brief ....

Race 1 : ZUBAYR -

Race 2: GREAT FIELD  -

Race 3 : GANGSTER -

Race 4 : CUE CARD / DON POLI / DON COSSACK - ( pro bet dutch ) -
*If CUE CARD stays a well run 3m2f ( did win the Betfair Chase over 3m1f ) i think he can run them into the ground.
Race 5 : AUPCHARLIE -

Race 6 : SQUOUATEUR -

Race 7 : RAVENS TOWER -


My Best Bet today is :

An EW TRIXIE on
1. ZUBAYR - 

2. GANGSTER - 

3. AUPCHARLIE - 

And you can have an EW Lucky 15 and include DON POLI -


RESULTS : 

Tuesday, 15 March 2016

Cheltenham Day 2

AREA LEFT FOR SUMMARY OF DAY 1






~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

DAY 2

RACE 1

WIN - YANWORTH -
EW - YORKHILL -
LONG - VIGIL -

The Baring Bingham is a race i like and many a star have come from this including of recent years Simonsig, The New One and Faugheen so this is certainly no back number race.

This year would appear no different as we have two genuine stars in the shape of Yorkhill and the massively impressive YANWORTH.
The Latter is my personal ( Sniper ) idea of the winner a horse with any amount of scope ( term generally used for a horse that still has improvement to offer and/or is building towards better things ) and this Alan King inmate looks to be a very special talent having Won three races  ( from 3 ) this term and not yet been asked to move off the bridle, 11/10 is a tight price that offers nothing but the selection is offers rock solid confidence.
Not a " done deal " by any means as not only the equally impressive looking Yorkhill offers strong opposition but the field itself looks very useful with the likes of Yala Eneki , Vigil and O O Seven all looking to improve upon their already very impressive statistics but yet priced at 40/1 , 33/1 and 20/1 these are the Longbow selections and it will be interesting to see how the Skeltons get on with their runners as they have another two in this and im a big fan of the stable but have felt its been under a bit of a cloud of late so a few shards of light would offer welcome relief.

                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2

SNIPER                                             LONGBOW

WIN - MORE OF THAT -                                            WIN - VYTA DU ROC -
EW - NO MORE HEROES -                V                     EW - MORE OF THAT -
LONG - VYTA DU ROC -                                            LONG -  SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT -           

The RSA is next and this is often a very competitive race aimed at those who failed to actually achieve their true targets and have therefore lowered their sights a bit..RSA or Neptune...

 This does look another extremely tough renewal or maybe not tough unless your a tipster but rather just very very competitive.
MORE OF THAT is the current 2/1 Jolly and in a 3m Chase with just a few pounds separating the field  ( most of whom arrive in excellent form ) and add in the bonus fact that this is a huge 9.6 on the Stat Lay scale i will gladly make this a MAX LAY.
Winner? what will win i hear you scream?.Well with the jolly out of the picture its a very open affair indeed.
No More Heroes is from the Combo/Team of last years victory and it a long with a great many others arrives bang in form but at 9/4 2nd Fav this offers absolutely nothing and if the market flip flops tmrw then it may well become a SL itself.
VYTA DU ROC at around 9/1 offers a smidge of value ( i had it down at 12/1 so no over enthused ) Stay the trip well, cruises into its races well , jumps very strongly and looks a genuine solid performer that quite frankly deserves some heavy black type and is gteed to run a big race for its punting partners and finally it would be churlish to write off the chances of SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT a horse arriving on the back of a very strongly accrued Hat Trick and for me is well worth his place in the field and an EW dutch on the last named pair is a solid looking bet using the winnings that will be earned by the Jolly blowing up ;-).

                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3

WIN - 
EW - 
LONG - 

This is usually a ridiculous affair and this years renewal of the CORAL CUP doesn't disappoint with 26 runners racing in a mind boggling Hcap this really is one for the pinstickers or even Paula Chiltern who i would imagine would excel in a race like this ( Missed her on ATR last night chatting with chappers ).

There are three in this field which i shall nominate as decent EW punts and they will carry the colour of my Money.

1. LONG HOUSE HALL @ 14/1
2. BAOULET DELAROQUE @ 14/1
3. BARON ALCO @ 20/1

All three arrive in tip top form and im expecting a damn decent run for my money however this is the Coral Cup and anything can happen but with the last five winners  ( from 6 ) returning at 9/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 and 14/1 i feel i have mine in just about the right range and i feel surprisingly confident of attaining a profitable outcome in this race.
                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE4

WIN - UN DE SCEAUX -
EW - SPRINTER SACRE -
LONG - SIRE DE GRUGY -

Next up is possibly the race of the day , THE QUEEN MOTHER CUP a race over 2m and this year we get to see a former superstar that had dimmed of late only to flicker once more and we are hoping the flicker is more than a last death defying gasp of its past brilliance and that it is more of a foundation to say i am only 10 and i have another 2 solid years left and its taking an age to regain fitness and confidence!! the horse in question is of course the one time uber brilliant SPRINTER SACRE.

The brilliance once displayed by SS would have made it almost unbackable for this or any other race as was the race in the main however the fortune reversal and the emergence of some stunning new challengers has allowed this today to be backed at an eye watering 5/1!!!.

The Fav is the brilliant Un De Sceaux and a deserved fav but at 8/11 i think that not only are they dis-respecting the remainder of the field but also the re-emergence in force of SS and there is no way at 8/11 this would have anything from me.

DODGING BULLETS is no back number either and at 14/1 looks a very interesting EW proposition or FAP, last years winner ran a wee bit flat fto this season but that is nothing new and you can gtee this will be cherry ripe for this and will run a big race indeed and also at 14/1 is SIRE DE GRUGY and i think an EW dutch on both is a very good sporting bet but as a purist i do think this lay between the old guard and the new king, Sprinter Sacre and Un De Sceaux  and a WIN Dutch on those two looks an absolute dream of a Pro Punt and i will end up throwing the proverbial wheel Barrow at this.


                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5

WIN - JOSIES ORDERS -
EW - BALTHAZAR KING -
LONG - QUANTITIVEEASING -

Next up its the Cross Country and this specialist race takes some understanding and i think Both BALTHAZAR KING and JOSIES ORDERS have gained a very good understanding and both look to hold extremely strong chances and at 3/1 and 6/1 offer enough for some financial investment.

                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6

WIN - OUR THOMAS -
EW - FIX LE KAP -
LONG - VOIX DU REVE -

FRED WINTER time and with 22 closely matched runners i can see the trend of big double barrelled priced runners filling the spots.
Previous winners have been 16/1 , 20/1 and 40/1 ( couple of times ) so aim for the sky pick three or four slap em EW and hope your in luck.

1. OUR THOMAS 20/1
From the Easterby's who know what it takes to win one of these.
2. JALEO @ 14/1
A classy type with bags of flat pace and if the ground continues to dry out will be very hard to beat and pass on the searching uphill finish.
3. DUKE STREET @ 25/1
From the canny yard of Dr Newland this is still improving and is worth his place.
4. HARLEY REBEL @ 20/1
From a yard i really like with a very capable rider.
5. PILLARD @ 25/1
Anything with Dicky riding has to be feared.

My 5 against the field in what should be a very fun race to watch but shouldnt be one to invest too heavily in.


                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 7

WIN - NEW TO THIS TOWN -
EW - ONTHEWESTERNFRONT -
LONG - AUGUSTA KATE -

                                                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Have a GREAT day , smile , keep the faith and bet within your limits.

Monday, 14 March 2016

Cheltenham Day 1 Continued.....

RACE 2

No big summary here as there is no EW value with the fav scaring off all the opposition and i really see no point in taking on Douvan as its my opinion that this is the single greatest horse since Arkle and even at 1/2 its a cracking bet as i see no way this loses ( just like Annie Power i here you all say, well thats fucking racing is what i retort..suck it up or pack it in )....I will be having a big bet on this and including it in my accas with Thistlecrack among others.

DOUVAN to Win quite easy. - DOUVAN WINS very easy...a true class performer packed with power.


RACE 3

This is an insanely tricky handicap but BEG TO DIFFER could have The answers, much improved improving rapidly and bang in form is gteed to run a big race and with 4 or 5 places paid is well worth a sporting EW.
Longbow has had a good look at this and he has nominated UN TEMPS POUR TOUT and SPRING HEELED both should be a decent price and both are more than capable of running a solid fun race.

Best Bet: EW Tri-Dutch. UN TEMPS POUR TOUT Wins @ 11/1..BoooM ;-))

RACE 4

For me THE race of the day, the CHAMPION HURDLE and it looks wide open with at least 8 strong runners plus ANNIE POWER.
One of the best Mares EVER that also has lost only two races ever but both were at Cheltenham including the mares race last year when she would have pissed in had it not been for Walsh slipping out the side as they skipped over the last withe race already Won!!!!!...a race btw that cost me me so much more than cash alone......anyway thats a story for another day.
Can Annie beat the boys?...Lets look at the competition...

1.THE NEW ONE
A horse that should have won more than it has and was once rated by me as the best since sliced bread but has gone considerably off the boil, still travels well, still has class but is vulnerable to both peers and improvers alike and it would have to be 33/1 or better for me to get involved and then it would be just for fun as i dont expect it to place.

2.HARGAM
See above but with scope and is not the best finisher and as much as i like this horse it needs to be in a Grade 2 to get that winning thread back.

3.MY TENT OR YOURS
A beautiful runner from Hendo that has a 703 day holiday to overcome but i really dont think thats an issue and this will make them all work if fully wound.Worked well the other day at Sandown but could blow up massively its just possible to say and the price you are getting is based on historical data not current or relevant and its just a gamble with a blindfold could win but could blow up.

4.PEACE AND CO
Been hugely disappointing this term , has a wonderful cruising speed but has blown up on both occasions and cannot be trusted not to do it again however a return to form makes it hard to beat but thats a tricky call and not for me.

5.TOP NOTCH
Another superstar from Hendo that has massively under performed this year and i really cant see this winning but i can see all Hendo runners cruising well but i havnt seen anything to suggest a sustained run is forthcoming.

6.NICHOLAS CANYON / SEMPRE MEDICI / IDENTITY THIEF
All three have very similar profiles and all have similar chances any or all can get involved but i have a feeling its place bombing for these only.

Best EW BET is probably CAMPING GROUND

So looking through this i simply dont see anything good enough to beat Annie however at 2/1 and racing against much stronger competition than  expected in a race in which Mares have only ever triumphed 3 times racing over an inadequate trip spells danger danger danger and i simple cannot advise a bet on it, Will probably win but not for me but is worth sticking in the odd acca.

Best Bet : EW bets on Hargam , The New One and Peace n Co with a WIN on Annie Power.

Annie Power WINS Very Easily ;-)

RACE 5

Next up as we have the MARES HURDLE and another race with another Mullins hot pot in the shape of VROUM VROUM MAG and this imo will simply demolish what looks like a field of average handicappers this will be one of the biggest shocks of the festival if this loses...Nailed on Double with Douvan and decent treble with Annie but also have another treble with Thistlecrack

WIN BET: VROUM VROUM MAG ( nap ) - WINS - 1st @ 1.90 ;-)...5 from 5...BooM

RACE 6

Katie Walsh and Nina Carberry..whatever they ride back EW.

RESULT:MEASUREMYDREAMS ridden by Katie is 3rd..so the PP is Won at £10 so i get 10 times the payout...whatever it is its been agreat day.!!

RACE 7

KATGARY and DOUBLE SHUFFLE in the finale and both EW obviously...

RESULT :



                   

 Its that time off year again , the magnificent CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL.

Aintree's festival is good , Punchestown is big , Galways is interesting but this is THE Festival of festivals and we have a good bank of solid looking banker bets in some good races with a very open feel to some with movement and defections causing some ante post mayhem.

DAY 1

RACE 1

An explosive start to the days affair and a very heavy betting race.

MIN the season long Ante Post darling trading at an incredible Even Money just a month ago has now drifted to a more realistic 9/4 however even that looks a shade skinny to me.

This race has for the last three years been dominated by Mullins who has quite frankly dominated everywhere as he built up a powerhouse stable that had no peers and even the mighty Gigginstown took a back seat.
BUT...prior to his mini race revival the 12 years leading upto this saw a double figure priced winner every year and since Kinsman Won at 50/1 we have had winners at 40/1 multiple times at 25/1 , 20/1 and loads at between 10/1-16/1 so for me the winner of this race is usually a slow burner, a one season wonder? but a horse primed to race for all his corn right now with no thought for this becoming a repeat affair.

So i am going to leave the mighty Min a horse of undeniable scope out of my equations.
Who will i look to to get me off to an exciting start, who can lead the way?.

Of course my old friend Hendo, Nicky has two very powerful runners and impossible to split candidates in this, ALTIOR who is all speed and fancy looks and BUVEUR D'AIR who is all muscle and Power and its the latter i fancy here with the withering cheltenham hill able to catch many a smooth traveler out.

Not much splits the pair in the market at 4/1 and 11/2 respectively and a dutch on these two is for me the best bet (Sniper ).

Longbow however as his stock takes them all on as he loves a longshot to fire at and Cheltenham is fair game for having a go and he has a couple of EW heroes to aim at.
Longbow is having an EW Dutch on the Skelton duo , both currently priced at 40/1 these two fine looking sorts seem to have a lot of improvement required to figure however this is the race to improve in and i wouldn't try n put anyone off a Longbow selection...master Archer...will he be master Tipster??!!.

My Formcaster predicts

WIN - MIN - 2nd @ 15/8
LONG - BELLSHILL - 
Best EW Bet - ALTIOR - 1st @ 4/1

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Results and analysis to follow.....BooooooM as The SNIPER takes the first Scalp with a well judged Dutch hitting both 1st @ 4/1 and 3rd @ 10/1...Lovely start ;-)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Thursday, 3 March 2016

What did you Miss?

Southwell

Kestrel Call is an out n out SL however the mid range to this market is very weak and for that reason even at 1.98 i am leaving this alone. - Unplaced @ 4/5F

ANCIENT CROSS at 5.5 is a massive SL ( anything over 9.4 qualifies as huge or massive ) and this HAS to be Layed ( or traded , whatever floats ones boat ). - Unplaced @ 6/1 2ndF

Claude Greenwood is currently on the margins..just about sneaks in as an out n out SL however i would probably just trade this at 4.2 rather than Lay unless the market straightens up significantly.

Captain Revelation is another borderline although the current 4.50 makes little appeal as i would ideally want or expect 4.2 or slightly lower knowing that if it goes in the 3's then the market will become unbalanced for the wrong reasons.

LUDLOW

ZANSTRA is a strong SL here at 8.6 but its always a nerve jangler taking on Dicky Johnson riding an in form horse but then i dont bet horses i bet against the market and the force is strong with this one.- Unplaced @ 15/8F

Hollywoodien is another strong looking runner that comes in at 8.2 on the SL scale  ( bit like the scoville scale but without the chillies ).- Unplaced at 5/2F

Nexius follows that and is another but this is slightly higher at 9.1 and at 3.10 makes lots of appeal in what will be an attritional race. - Unplaced @ 7/2F

Aptrix is on the margins as this 7.2 selection is another with a very poor mid range and is best watched for now unless the market turns dramatically for us.

This will do you today, have a taste see how it feels and what you think and let me know how you got on, ( Results Later )

TTFN ;-)

BooooooooooooooooooM 4 From 4 ;-)

Thursday, 28 January 2016

Result Update

Trading Result from the " Stat Lays " for the last 3 Months.

OCT 2015 - A total of 62 SL's advised with a 100% Record and based on Level Stake Lays ( advised ) of £50 this returns a profit of £3100.00.

NOV 2015 - 
SL's - 26 - 100% - £1300.00 Profit.

DEC 2015 - 
SL's - 42 - 100% - £2100.00 Profit.

A total of £6500.00 Profit on £50 Stat Lays with a perfect 100% record , The Stat Lays are nothing short of Genius ;-)).

Thursday, 21 January 2016

Thursday NAP

Morning Arsewipes ,

I hope your all feeling shit and covered in the shite that is the January Blues.
I would like to offer some words of hope , encouragement and a silver lining however i simply couldnt give two fuckety fucks how your feeling so shove that in the pipe hole.

What i can do is this..Offer you a NAP a day that may win , may lose may not even run and will offer little value.

Todays Wallet bothering " Dead Cert " is

                                                      BITOFAPUZZLE


Result : 

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